Divergence Trading Guide: Spot Reversals Before They Happen
Divergence shows when momentum disagrees with price—an early warning of potential reversals. Master this to enter trends early and exit before they fail.
- Divergence = price and indicator disagreeing. Regular divergence warns of reversal. Hidden divergence signals continuation.
- Never trade divergence alone—wait for price confirmation at key levels. Divergence can persist in strong trends.
- Thrive automatically detects divergences across RSI, MACD, and other indicators on multiple timeframes.
Explore Divergence Types
Click through different divergence patterns:
Price Action
Lower lows
Indicator Action
Higher lows
Interpretation
Price making new lows but momentum weakening (indicator not confirming). Selling exhaustion. Potential reversal signal at support.
Look for at key support levels. Wait for price confirmation (break of local structure). Entry on confirmation, stop below divergence low. Target previous swing high. Works with RSI, MACD, OBV.
What Is Divergence?
Divergence occurs when price and indicator tell different stories. Price makes a new high, but RSI makes a lower high—that's divergence. It shows momentum isn't confirming the move. Something is weakening beneath the surface.
Divergence is a leading indicator. It warns of potential change before price confirms. But warning isn't certainty—always wait for confirmation.
Types of Divergence
Regular Bullish Divergence
Price makes lower lows. Indicator makes higher lows. Selling exhaustion—momentum weakening even as price falls. Potential reversal from bottom. Look at support levels.
Regular Bearish Divergence
Price makes higher highs. Indicator makes lower highs. Buying exhaustion—momentum weakening even as price rises. Potential reversal from top. Look at resistance levels.
Hidden Bullish Divergence
In uptrend: price makes higher low, indicator makes lower low. Trend continuation signal. The dip is a buying opportunity—momentum resetting for next leg up.
Hidden Bearish Divergence
In downtrend: price makes lower high, indicator makes higher high. Trend continuation signal. The rally is a shorting opportunity—downtrend intact.
| Type | Price | Indicator | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | Lower lows | Higher lows | Potential bottom |
| Regular Bearish | Higher highs | Lower highs | Potential top |
| Hidden Bullish | Higher lows | Lower lows | Buy the dip |
| Hidden Bearish | Lower highs | Higher highs | Short the rally |
Best Indicators for Divergence
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Most popular for divergence. Clear, clean signals. Overbought/oversold zones add context. Related: RSI Divergence Deep Dive
MACD Histogram
Histogram shows momentum changes clearly. Divergence on histogram is very reliable. Works well on higher timeframes.
OBV (On-Balance Volume)
Volume divergence—if price rises but OBV falls, buying is weak. Less common but powerful when volume tells different story than price.
Stochastic
Fast-moving oscillator. Good for shorter-term divergence. More noise but quicker signals.
Trading Divergence
Step 1: Identify Divergence
Spot price and indicator disagreeing. Regular at potential reversal zones. Hidden in established trends during pullbacks.
Step 2: Confirm with Context
Divergence at key support/resistance is stronger. Multiple timeframe divergence is stronger. Multiple indicator divergence is stronger.
Step 3: Wait for Price Confirmation
Don't enter on divergence alone. Wait for break of structure, candlestick pattern, or other confirmation. Divergence gives warning, price gives entry.
Step 4: Execute with Risk Management
Stop loss beyond the divergence extreme. Target based on structure (previous swing). Don't over-size—divergence can fail.
Common Mistakes
- Trading divergence alone: Always wait for confirmation. Divergence can persist.
- Ignoring trend: Regular divergence in strong trend often fails. Trend is stronger.
- Low timeframe focus: Higher timeframes more reliable. Lower TF = more noise.
- Missing hidden divergence: Many traders only know regular. Hidden is powerful for trends.
- One indicator only: Multiple indicators diverging = much stronger signal.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is divergence in trading?
Divergence occurs when price and an indicator move in opposite directions. Price makes new high but indicator doesn't = bearish divergence. Shows momentum weakening before price reverses.
What is the difference between regular and hidden divergence?
Regular divergence signals potential reversal. Hidden divergence signals trend continuation. Regular: price + indicator disagree on new highs/lows. Hidden: price holds trend but indicator shows opposite.
Which indicators work for divergence?
RSI is most popular. MACD histogram works well. OBV for volume divergence. Stochastic, CCI also work. All momentum oscillators can show divergence. Use ones you understand best.
How reliable is divergence?
Divergence gives warning but not timing. Price can diverge for extended periods before reversing. Always wait for price confirmation. Divergence + key level + confirmation = high probability.
Can divergence fail?
Yes. Divergence can persist in strong trends. Price may diverge then continue trending without reversing. Never trade divergence alone—use as confluence with other analysis.
What timeframe is best for divergence?
Higher timeframes (4H, daily) more reliable. Lower timeframes have more noise and false signals. Best: divergence on higher TF, entry on lower TF with confirmation.
How do I trade regular bullish divergence?
Price makes lower low, indicator makes higher low. Look at key support. Wait for price to confirm (break structure). Enter long on confirmation. Stop below divergence low. Target previous swing high.
How do I trade hidden divergence?
Hidden divergence = trend continuation. In uptrend: price higher low + indicator lower low = buy the dip. In downtrend: price lower high + indicator higher high = short the rally.