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Risk parity

Risk parity calculator equal risk, not equal dollars

Equal risk contributions, inverse volatility, hierarchical risk parity, and minimum variance. Four ways to stop the riskiest name from owning the book.

Closes

One column per asset, oldest first. The sample is already filled. First close 64203.60.

BTC / ETH / SOL

Risk budget, four ways

Equal risk uses the full covariance. Inverse vol ignores correlation. The gap between those two rows is the correlation adjustment.

Equal risk
BTC 40.8%

Largest weight

Inverse vol
BTC 41.1%

Largest weight

Min variance
BTC 100.0%

Largest weight

HRP
BTC 41.3%

Largest weight

Risk-based weights
MethodBTCETHSOL
Equal risk40.8%31.4%27.8%
Inverse vol41.1%31.4%27.5%
Min variance100.0%0.0%0.0%
HRP41.3%24.1%34.6%
  • Each row is daily, 365 periods a year. Annualized figures use 365 periods.
  • 90 closes in the series. Computed by Thrive's portfolio engine. Rounded to the digit shown.

Equal dollars is not equal risk

A 33/33/33 mix of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a quieter name is mostly a Bitcoin bet, because Bitcoin and Ethereum move together and both jump more than a bond ETF. Risk parity assigns weight so each asset contributes the same variance.

Inverse volatility is the simple version: weight proportional to 1/vol, ignoring correlation. Minimum variance is the full covariance answer with no return target. Hierarchical risk parity clusters first so correlated names share one risk bucket.

How this page runs it

Thrive's portfolio engine estimates the empirical covariance from your returns. Equal risk contributions, minimum variance, and hierarchical risk parity use that matrix. Inverse volatility uses the volatilities on the diagonal.

None of these mixes use the sample mean. That is the point. They will not chase last month's winner.

How to run it

  1. Paste aligned closes.
  2. Compare equal-risk weights with inverse-vol weights. The gap is the correlation adjustment.
  3. Read minimum variance as the calmest long-only mix.
  4. Use hierarchical risk parity when you have names that cluster.

FAQ

People also ask

A portfolio where each asset contributes the same amount of variance. High-vol assets get less dollar weight. Low-vol assets get more, until their risk matches.

Inverse volatility only looks at each asset’s own vol. Risk parity also cuts weight when assets are highly correlated, because those names share one risk.

Lopez de Prado’s method. Cluster the covariance, allocate risk between clusters, then inside them. It avoids the unstable matrix inverse that blows up mean-variance weights.

No. Weights stay long only and fully invested. A Treasury ETF can get a large dollar weight. It will not be levered past 100%.

Budget risk on the book you hold.

A target weight is a plan. Thrive shows the weight you actually carried and whether the risk budget survived the week.